AI-Web3 World | Will ChatGPT Surpass Human Intelligence?
"The intelligence revolution has brought about earth-shattering changes to human society, even having the capacity to make all significant decisions for us. However, when humans hand over the future to artificial intelligence, are we heading towards a utopia or a dystopia?" ~ Chow Sung Ming
Last year, the cryptocurrency market experienced a series of major earthquakes (LUNA and FTX), entering a bear market that has yet to show signs of recovery. Friends in the blockchain world are hibernating during this winter.
At the end of 2022, ChatGPT arrived, and within just a few months, over a hundred million people had registered, instantly becoming the hottest topic worldwide. Many hibernating friends were awakened by this fervor.
At that time, Hong Kong could not register for the web version of ChatGPT, and one had to use special means to register and use it. Although there was much online discussion, user experience sharing, and commentary on the impact of AI on the future, I was not interested in exploring further because I was busy with other things and didn't have the energy to research it.
It wasn't until mid-March that I learned about the Poe app, which allows iPhone or iPad users to access ChatGPT. I downloaded it immediately, played with it for a while, and was astonished by its power and performance. I understood why the whole world was concerned about this matter.
Some people have compared the emergence of ChatGPT to Edison's invention of the light bulb – a breakthrough that changed the lives and work patterns of people all around the world.
Less than 24 hours after I started using it, ChatGPT-4 was launched (March 15th). In a very short time, I experienced the significant differences between ChatGPT-3.5 and ChatGPT-4, which felt like a huge leap.
Perhaps in the past three months, a hundred million people have "trained" and "taught" it, enabling it to progress rapidly. There's no such thing as a free lunch. I believe the purpose of the free version of ChatGPT is to test and train its artificial intelligence, allowing it to grow faster and become more "perfect."
The Potential Impact of ChatGPT on Humanity
As fate would have it, my good friend Chow Sung Ming is a sociologist whose latest book, "Dystopia: Four Human Futures Under the Intelligence Revolution," was published on November 22, 2022. A week after the book's release, OpenAI launched ChatGPT, which received an overwhelmingly positive response, gaining one million users in just one week, setting a new record.
Nick Bostrom, a Swedish-born professor at the University of Oxford, founded the Oxford Martin Program on the Impacts of Future Technology and is the founding director of the Future of Humanity Institute at Oxford University. He was named one of the top 100 global thinkers by Foreign Policy.
He has written two books: "Anthropic Bias: Observation Selection Effects in Science and Philosophy" (2002) and "Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies" (2014).
In the final chapter of "Dystopia," Zou Chongming cites a 2014 survey by Nick Bostrom, in which 10% of experts polled believed that by 2022, AI would approximate human intelligence.
Now it's 2023, and nine years ago, these 10% of experts issued their "prophecy." While it may be premature to say that AI has caught up with human intelligence, it's clear that it's getting closer and closer.
My faith teaches me the principle that "the created cannot surpass the creator." Therefore, I do not believe that AI can surpass human intelligence, as portrayed by the supercomputer HAL 9000 in the movie "2001: A Space Odyssey" (1967), which becomes capable of defying human control and striking back against humanity.
However, ChatGPT has indeed dealt a severe blow to some industries' practitioners and will bring about significant changes in the political and economic spheres.
I have no knowledge of computer programming or coding. I tried asking ChatGPT to write a piece of code to improve a blog, and it completed the task in less than 15 seconds. All I had to do was copy and paste, and it was done – truly astonishing.
I immediately asked a senior IT engineer friend, "What impact has ChatGPT had on your industry?" He replied, "In the future, there should be a new job focused on using ChatGPT to speed up programming time. Junior programmers will be greatly affected, while senior ones will gain an extra helping hand. However, when it comes to creating innovative programs, ChatGPT might not be that helpful."
It's unknown how rapidly artificial intelligence will develop in the near future and what kind of significant impact it will have on the world. But its influence is already evident.
This article was translated by ChatGPT-4. The original text is in Chinese.
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